Firm-Quiver
0x3921407a4d8760ad277d29ac0ddd79d524e0dbbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-617.51
Realised
$-8.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
6241 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-126.84
- NO
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
1282 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
495 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-99.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 1?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-99.96
- YES
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
269 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- WAGNER
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?
188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Speed/Kai beat Minecraft on 41st attempt?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Austria win the 2024 Euros?
43 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-2.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$55.61Jan 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$49.87Jan 1, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$0.00Oct 30, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$0.00Oct 30, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$63.52Oct 26, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$63.52Oct 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$42.00Oct 26, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMNYA (NYA) Up or Down on October 20?$42.00Oct 21, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$55.90Oct 20, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYA (NYA) Up or Down on October 20?$21.84Oct 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYA (NYA) Up or Down on October 20?$22.26Oct 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?$100.00Oct 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 1?$99.96Oct 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$27.90Oct 16, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$98.94Oct 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$50.00Aug 22, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$41.03Aug 22, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpeed/Kai beat Minecraft on 41st attempt?$50.00Aug 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$50.00Aug 22, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$9.00Aug 11, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $46.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".