Some-Revitalisation
0x396643069a1edc5fa9609a92c449145346dd9488
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.95
Total PnL
$-20.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
3 shares @ 32.7¢·now 33.1¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
7 shares @ 13.5¢·now 12.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
454 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NICOLAI BUDKOV KJAER
Swedish Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- FRANCO AGAMENONE
Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrena
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$25.97Jul 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$13.46Jul 14, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$13.88Jul 14, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-14?$2.00Jul 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$0.91Jul 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$25.72Jul 14, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$13.46Jul 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.04Jul 14, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.03Jul 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?$1.46Jul 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.38Jul 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$4.99Jul 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino$5.13Jul 14, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$0.00Jul 13, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$0.00Jul 13, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$0.00Jul 13, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMSwedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas$0.00Jul 13, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMSwedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas$1.41Jul 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?$1.02Jul 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.02Jul 13, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.