Political-Quiet
0x396ed4b42e489a8756b986347608a69142e71a59
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$35.03
Total PnL
$-546.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
37 shares @ 81.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.03
$5.03
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1492 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1178 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
252 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
208 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $10.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.