Joint-Pillow
0x397e636a4e84ff113a9ff622190a5de77a5ace08
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$9.76
Total PnL
$-160.48
Realised
$0.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
69 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.90
$-2.76
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 13.8¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
135 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.31
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
75 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
70 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.66
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$9.90May 26, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$6.14May 23, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 in May?$5.13May 23, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.02May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.03May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.86May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?$1.02May 11, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$1.00May 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 11, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$10.00Apr 24, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$10.00Apr 21, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?$12.14Apr 21, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?$31.26Apr 21, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?$4.55Apr 21, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".