Trim-Committee
0x39c3d7208946b664aab88797225a418f9d4e0c7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$529.10
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
7880 shares @ 19.8¢·now 19.3¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$1.5K
$-43.17
- YES
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
2398 shares @ 16.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 18, 2026$563.54
$178.60
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
960 shares @ 51.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$532.76
$36.79
- NO
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
1566 shares @ 22.5¢·now 19.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$297.53
$-54.72
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
308 shares @ 52.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$121.54
$-38.46
- NO
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
9937 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$109.31
$-239.36
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?
8140 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$89.54
$-167.14
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
3117 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$74.82
$61.66
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4062 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.66
$-25.96
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?
3392 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$15.27
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$6.97Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$34.46Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$116.64Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7.52Jul 28, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$403.43Jul 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$950.38Jul 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.07Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.06Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.02Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.21Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.15Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.02Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$11.65Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.02Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$765.78Jul 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.04Jul 27, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?$0.02Jul 27, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$113.84Jul 27, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?$1.42Jul 27, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$509.70Jul 27, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $160.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.