Imaginary-Monitoring
0x39e07fce64a6dc73df61896c89a1d4f64c568244
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$82.10
Total PnL
$11.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.20
$14.36
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$25.60
$11.01
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
22 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$22.30
$8.70
- NO
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?
56 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-22.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$13.76Jun 25, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.09May 25, 07:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$26.00May 21, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$14.78May 21, 03:29 UTC
- SPLITWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$10.00May 21, 03:28 UTC
- SPLITWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$16.00May 21, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$46.95Apr 23, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$47.00Apr 23, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?$54.21Apr 23, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?$22.80Apr 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?$28.60Apr 15, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.70 March 23-29?$12.01Apr 15, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $30 on April 12?$16.01Apr 15, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $30 on April 12?$16.00Apr 9, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.70 March 23-29?$12.00Mar 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40.63Mar 25, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?$10.02Mar 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.33Mar 25, 11:50 UTC
- SPLITWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$41.00Mar 25, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 22?$15.02Mar 9, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $174.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.