0x39e5ab7309962b357892f4b612e2e9abb0f124f1
0x39e5ab7309962b357892f4b612e2e9abb0f124f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$19.10
Total PnL
$-25.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
95 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.61
$0.14
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
149 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.46
$-0.67
- NO
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 74.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.41
$0.36
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
15 shares @ 10.2¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$1.31
$-0.24
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.07
$-0.09
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
45 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.51
$-1.14
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
83 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.45
$-1.20
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
286 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.43
$-6.07
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
133 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.22Jul 20, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$0.00Jul 15, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 13, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.00Jul 8, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 8, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 8, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 7, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 7, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0.00Jul 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$1.60Jul 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.99Jul 3, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.27Jul 3, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 2, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.06Jul 1, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.38Jul 1, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 1, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$1.38Jul 1, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$1.71Jul 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.66Jul 1, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 17:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.