Limping-Littleneck
0x3a325bad8b8cb3d7af4903f52f01f34f06a6da36
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$4.30
Total PnL
$-15.34
Realised
$4.10
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?
25 shares @ 0.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.94
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.09
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.50
- YES
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$0.27
- YES
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$0.10
- YES
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 0.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$0.23
$0.19
- YES
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$0.01
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.05
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Aiemann Zahabi next?$0.49Jul 5, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$5.00Jun 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next?$0.28Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next?$11.72Jun 8, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$2.50May 31, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$1.35May 14, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Edwards be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?$0.00Apr 27, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?$0.00Apr 27, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.07Apr 27, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor dip to $2.75 in April?$0.01Apr 27, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor dip to $2.75 in April?$0.05Apr 27, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor dip to $2.75 in April?$0.05Apr 27, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor dip to $2.75 in April?$0.05Apr 26, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.03Apr 26, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.03Apr 26, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.01Apr 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.01Apr 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?$0.13Apr 25, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?$0.03Apr 25, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?$0.09Apr 25, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.