SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 28, 2026

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Probability

96¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$2.12

Liquidity

$122.11

Probability (last 7 days)

+7.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $122 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 774.1h

    LOW
  • 17:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 96¢.

Biggest hourly move: +7.0pp at 3d ago (to 95¢).

Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 94¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +7.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 95¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 95¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventSerie A - Top Goalscorer
Category · Sports

Market Description

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statisticsextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket