Faithful-Cheetah
0x3a4398fbb0270fe3f6aa4bca7774cfea6dd85e26
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-17.48
Win rate
6%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8559 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-504.05
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
1260 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-42.02
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1102 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-317.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
669 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.70
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
540 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
310 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
222 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-53.27
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
218 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-111.10
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
211 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$28.91Jul 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6PM ET$15.57Jul 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.19Jul 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.38Jul 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.04Jul 20, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.47Jul 20, 13:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.21Jul 16, 18:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$199.17Jul 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$200.31Jul 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$8.52Jul 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$9.41Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.49Jul 15, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $43.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.