Likable-Thaw
0x3a6f2e33ecd4e2c6bf399de285ea38a9e74a087d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$30.33
Total PnL
$-17.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11?
5 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$5.00
$0.38
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.43
$0.25
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.95
$-0.45
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.95
$-0.55
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.50
$-0.70
- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.45
$0.15
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.05
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?$3.30Jun 11, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11?$4.62Jun 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$5.81Jun 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.57Jun 11, 04:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.30Jun 9, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$4.95Jun 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$3.38Jun 4, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?$2.05Jun 2, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.35Jun 2, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$9.36Jun 2, 07:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.50Jun 1, 17:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.40May 31, 04:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$3.10May 30, 05:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$4.18May 28, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.