0x3a7dca7bef01b3cef77a934dc456b5a26b4956fc
0x3a7dca7bef01b3cef77a934dc456b5a26b4956fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.95
Total PnL
$-9.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.00
$4.40
- NO
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$10.00
$2.90
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.45
- YES
Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.80Feb 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$2.55Feb 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$3.90Feb 25, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$5.60Feb 24, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$7.10Feb 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.40Feb 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$1.20Feb 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$0.30Feb 23, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$1.50Feb 20, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.94Feb 20, 14:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.31Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.69Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$0.68Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.94Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$1.10Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$0.89Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.90Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$0.69Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.