0x3aa2844145497bbdfa8aa9f26af341d105165d2f
0x3aa2844145497bbdfa8aa9f26af341d105165d2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.04
Total PnL
$-9.35
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.90
$-0.10
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.43
$0.03
- YES
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?
2 shares @ 12.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.21
$0.96
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- TEAM HERETICS
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
37 shares @ 10.8¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
7 shares @ 83.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.25
$-5.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 83.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.08
$-1.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$1.00May 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$1.01May 16, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$1.41May 15, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$1.34May 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.97May 15, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.02May 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.03May 15, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.04May 15, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01May 15, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$1.02May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$1.03May 15, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 15, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.17May 15, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?$0.00Mar 27, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?$0.00Mar 27, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".