Flawed-Imagination
0x3ad06c0442a788da3a36fa56faab12471bd71153
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$318.26
Total PnL
$-339.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
62 shares @ 64.8¢·now 83.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$51.78
$11.78
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
69 shares @ 50.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.62
$5.62
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
26 shares @ 93.7¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$24.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.51
$1.51
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.67
$0.67
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.76
$0.76
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.23
$1.23
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
365 shares @ 8.2¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.03
$-19.97
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
11 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.00Jun 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.00Jun 14, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$20.37Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$13.51Jun 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$5.09Jun 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.08Jun 13, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$9.00Jun 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$5.00Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$5.00Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.00Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$10.02Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$8.08Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.01Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.25Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$4.00Jun 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$3.99Jun 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$1.00Jun 11, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.