Oval-Robin
0x3adac18961a1fcef82c6c9c1bfcf93e31a6ef6e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$4.89
Total PnL
$-39.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.62
$-0.38
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 30?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.00Apr 23, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1.00Apr 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$1.00Apr 16, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$1.00Apr 16, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$12.66Apr 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.00Apr 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$10.13Apr 13, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$114.37Apr 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$115.87Apr 12, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0.36Apr 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.00Apr 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.26Apr 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.00Apr 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$26.00Apr 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$10.00Apr 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$1.58Apr 11, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$87.20Apr 11, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$60.00Apr 10, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".