Luminous-Classroom
0x3afef976a5d031b351da42c0ad0ff1f13c1d01d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$12.6K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13837 shares @ 54.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.8K
$-633.01
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
7898 shares @ 24.1¢·now 31.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.5K
$605.89
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19164 shares @ 11.2¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$-723.19
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1154 shares @ 85.3¢·now 86.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$993.93
$10.28
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
33105 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$248.29
$-478.43
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13777 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$192.87
$-71.69
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9761 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$190.34
$-245.53
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
106 shares @ 32.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$72.53
$38.35
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 27.6¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$51.90
$-3.30
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
126 shares @ 38.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$39.54
$-8.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$159.82Jun 13, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$110.84Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$433.51Jun 12, 22:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.08Jun 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.87Jun 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$3.28Jun 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$3.20Jun 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$7.09Jun 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$4.50Jun 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$15.00Jun 11, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.95Jun 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.95Jun 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.26Jun 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.26Jun 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$4.89Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$15.87Jun 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$15.00Jun 11, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $40.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.