Somber-Referendum
0x3b10fb4abfde09189c5bd2826f739c8c3b8b0cb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$11.20
Total PnL
$-107.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-0.06
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27?
4337 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-17.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4?
3368 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 23?
3338 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?
3312 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 16?
1150 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 13?
1144 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 12?
1132 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 10?
1130 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$12.24Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$12.20Jun 12, 06:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.65Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$12.34Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$12.30May 26, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$12.05May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$12.00May 19, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$12.24May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$12.02May 12, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$12.04May 5, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$12.00May 4, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$4.28May 4, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$4.25Apr 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.25Apr 10, 14:23 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Apr 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on March 30?$2.23Mar 30, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 26?$1.1KMar 27, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 26?$1.1KMar 26, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?$1.1KMar 26, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $744.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.