Spotted-Shakedown
0x3b14127d30b434795dafc1f036af31a2c5299d6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$336.48
Total PnL
$10.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$132.58
$32.58
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
127 shares @ 47.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$99.77
$39.77
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.30
$-1.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$25.12
$5.12
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.89
$-0.95
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.46
$-1.54
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
103 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-13.33
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$40.00May 26, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$18.77May 26, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$20.00May 25, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?$20.00May 25, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$11.90May 25, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.29May 25, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.26May 25, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.20May 25, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 25, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$100.00May 25, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$17.19May 25, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuke" this week?$5.12May 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$50.00May 24, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$204.54May 24, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$60.00May 24, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$60.00May 24, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$32.32May 24, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$125.14May 24, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$22.99May 23, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$60.00May 23, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $38.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".