Incompatible-Lay
0x3b43262f692f15469b36abf35d46507ca6be5963
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.31
Total PnL
$-5.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.75
$-1.60
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.23
$-2.42
- YES
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 27–28%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.01Mar 9, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.59Feb 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.35Jan 28, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$3.65Jan 6, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$8.98Dec 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$9.00Dec 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$8.98Dec 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$9.00Dec 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$8.98Dec 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$9.00Dec 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$8.97Dec 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$9.00Dec 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled in 2025?$8.97Dec 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled in 2025?$9.00Dec 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$9.99Dec 28, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$10.00Dec 28, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 27–28%?$1.00Nov 25, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".