Rusty-Snow
0x3b5c947ca52e01824cf1c5ab25a1e0f2d88c688e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$54.38
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$-328.36
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
199 shares @ 32.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.91
$-41.09
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
26 shares @ 38.8¢·now 31.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$-18.31
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$-3.31
- NO
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
20966 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11AM ET
12791 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-131.24
- NO
Honus Wagner card sale >$3 million?
6506 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- NO
Will Australia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$30.00Mar 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$10.00Mar 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 23, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$10.00Mar 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$10.00Mar 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$12.00Mar 19, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$20.00Mar 19, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$10.00Mar 19, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00Mar 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Mar 18, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Mar 18, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$5.00Mar 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$41.43Mar 18, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$138.74Mar 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$10.00Mar 8, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?$10.00Mar 8, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$50.00Mar 8, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $28.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".