Misguided-Winery
0x3b79d44d577fca21cffb44ccc718042f9ef5ac82
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$143.64
Total PnL
$-703.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
259 shares @ 61.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$143.64
$-15.69
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
16667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
4814 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
2947 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-587.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$161.78May 23, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$162.21May 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$124.37Dec 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$124.37Dec 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$128.19Dec 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$128.19Dec 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$560.81Dec 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$652.43May 26, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$685.05May 18, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$685.05May 18, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$515.85May 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$2.8KFeb 24, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.6KJan 30, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.9KJan 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$919.98Jan 22, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$789.04Jan 22, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$13.92Jan 22, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$16.56Jan 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$15.80Jan 22, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$33.00Jan 22, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $704.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.