Alarming-Usual
0x3b7b1b3bb6e5c8f05487f9d887d7a37451654870
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$53.06
Total PnL
$-10.61
Realised
$1.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 17.2¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.75
$-1.45
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
429 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.17
$0.17
- YES
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
98 shares @ 7.2¢·now 7.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
264 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.88
$-2.12
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.44
$-1.56
- YES
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$3.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Truist Championship?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
111 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.60
$-1.69
- YES
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Truist Championship?
54 shares @ 11.2¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.18
$-4.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.003h ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?$24.568h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?$15.189h ago
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers $0.0010h ago
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic $0.0010h ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMBMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Viktor Hovland win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "US" 7+ times during dinner with Dutch royals?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 19)$0.0010h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $13.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
