Merry-Chivalry
0x3b8b46e8176443edd286ae46f8b23751a6c6b164
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$116.14
Total PnL
$-24.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
21 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.77
$-0.23
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.50
$4.30
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$8.50
$2.10
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$7.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 76.5¢·now 74.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.43
$-0.21
- YES
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.3¢·now 20.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.43
$1.43
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
100 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$6.10
$-0.60
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.60
$2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?$7.20Jun 2, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?$6.89Jun 2, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.53Jun 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?$5.72Jun 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$6.26Jun 1, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$1.65Jun 1, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$3.20Jun 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$4.74Jun 1, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$5.78May 31, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$1.87May 30, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMCanada recession before 2027?$11.90May 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?$0.13May 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$6.62May 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$11.20May 29, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$4.24May 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$8.40May 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$2.10May 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$34.99May 9, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$2.06May 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.27May 8, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.