Downright-Geyser
0x3b8f14fbac1e4c14cb464438a6806241d4b3ac91
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$140.18
Total PnL
$6.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 27?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$30.06
$0.06
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
26 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.81
$1.81
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.10
$0.10
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.05
$0.05
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.89
$3.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 27?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$13.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.20
$0.20
- NO
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 27?$30.00Mar 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 27?$13.00Mar 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$15.00Mar 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in March?$10.00Mar 26, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 20?$14.01Mar 26, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 20?$20.02Mar 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$6.00Feb 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 20?$20.00Feb 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 20?$14.00Feb 19, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 2?$60.06Feb 19, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?$5.14Feb 19, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 2?$26.03Feb 19, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on February 2?$45.05Feb 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on February 2?$45.00Feb 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 2?$26.00Feb 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 2?$60.00Feb 1, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$24.00Feb 1, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?$5.00Feb 1, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 23?$6.01Feb 1, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $25.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".