0x3bd86cf1a0fadb2dc3201f8c524475230526bedd
0x3bd86cf1a0fadb2dc3201f8c524475230526bedd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$13.24
Total PnL
$-21.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.89
$2.34
- YES
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.46
$0.64
- YES
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.16
$0.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
182 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.73
$-0.09
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1027 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
52 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.59
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
34 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.91
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$28.92Apr 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?$1.82Apr 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.37Apr 12, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$7.58Apr 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.82Apr 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$7.77Apr 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?$1.82Apr 11, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?$1.82Apr 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 90 seats?$1.81Apr 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.82Apr 11, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.05Apr 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.36Apr 8, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$8.18Apr 5, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.82Apr 5, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?$9.09Apr 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.82Apr 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4.55Apr 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.64Apr 5, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.