Exciting-Motorcar
0x3beeab2f2ccf204471309e13b08a3fd96ef49ae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.27
Total PnL
$-17.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.26
$0.01
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
713 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15?
470 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?
373 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15?
15 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$2.00Jun 2, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$1.06Jun 2, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.00Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$122.12Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$1.04Jun 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 31, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$2.00May 31, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 27?$1.02May 31, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$122.01May 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 30, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $20.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.