Thunderous-Clutch
0x3c1551a25ecef3a35f94e7262f1fd4413a0145a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$888.01
Win rate
76%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
550 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$478.50
$-0.10
- NO
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
503 shares @ 54.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$394.96
$123.04
- YES
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?
149 shares @ 75.5¢·now 89.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.48
$20.99
- NO
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?
121 shares @ 67.4¢·now 63.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$77.56
$-4.24
- SURREY
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Surrey
125 shares @ 54.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$59.89
$-7.81
- YES
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?
155 shares @ 24.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$37.98
$-0.03
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
1663 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-374.21
- DIGNITAS
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
1135 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-571.49
- YES
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1084 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-61.43
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
868 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-148.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the July Fed decision?$43.50Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$26.11Jul 28, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the July Fed decision?$44.00Jul 28, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMMetro Bank One Day Cup: Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire$9.50Jul 28, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Surrey$17.39Jul 28, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Surrey$26.50Jul 28, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Surrey$7.26Jul 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Surrey$14.56Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the July Fed decision?$4.30Jul 28, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the July Fed decision?$44.00Jul 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$4.08Jul 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the July Fed decision?$3.58Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?$6.85Jul 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?$1.56Jul 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?$4.57Jul 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01?$5.22Jul 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?$1.56Jul 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?$3.12Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$11.50Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.69Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
59 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 22:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.