Mean-Girdle
0x3c18b083b7876a61a7f7de17644020498ece1e3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$51.82
Total PnL
$-57.07
Realised
$17.46
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- BUCKS
Mavericks vs. Bucks
31 shares @ 59.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.57
$12.29
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.96
$0.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$5.00
$0.16
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 54.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.62
$-0.64
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.09
$1.48
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.55
$-3.45
- YES
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.03
$-3.80
- NO
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-12?
4950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
4950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
3399 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?$5.00Feb 20, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$5.03Feb 20, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMManhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles$6.35Feb 15, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-14?$8.00Feb 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$4.95Feb 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers$2.80Feb 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13?$0.17Feb 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13?$4.50Feb 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.00Feb 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?$4.50Feb 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$4.84Feb 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-14?$3.20Feb 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.95Feb 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6AM ET$5.00Feb 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncs$4.25Feb 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?$0.07Feb 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?$4.64Feb 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 3 Winner$3.01Feb 13, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 3 Winner$1.64Feb 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$4.95Feb 13, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".