Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Probability
58¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$367.25
Probability (last 7 days)
+43.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6019.3h
- 09:42SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6019h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 59¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 58¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 59¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 59¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 59¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 57¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 58¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 58¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 58¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 56¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 59¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 59¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.0pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.0pp
to 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).