Polite-Poker
0x3c18bd8e5b93dd23f14c1dcd745ea0b84337ea14
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.91
Total PnL
$-6.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $700M and $900M at market close on IPO day?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.91
$-0.12
- YES
Will Trump say "Tunnel" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mobia Medical's market cap be between $700M and $900M at market close on IPO day?$1.065h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.081d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.0070d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.0070d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5$1.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5$1.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?$1.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$2.2276d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tunnel" during Board of Peace events on February 19?$1.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$1.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$1.0076d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 76d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
