0x3c5e113b9a0085083e8b86954e4a7f526b268d6e
0x3c5e113b9a0085083e8b86954e4a7f526b268d6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
126029 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.3K
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60778 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
13578 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.2K
- YES
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
3903 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-970.94
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
255 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.96
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
122 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-43.87
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$71.93Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$11.38Jul 4, 21:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.7KJun 30, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.4KJun 30, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.6KJun 30, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.3KJun 30, 05:41 UTC
- YIELD$2.69Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.65Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.58Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.60Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.54Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.51Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.46Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.29Jun 22, 09:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.45Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.33Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.29Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.28Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.