Dearest-Organising
0x3ca844e391ad41e847d70e6472288d39f3841c73
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
185
Open notional
$0.78
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-19.19
Win rate
40%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 185- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 65.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.06
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.16
$0.00
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.02
$-0.01
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
2708 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-463.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
900 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- YES
Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
831 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.36
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Celtics
433 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-33.40
- SPIRIT
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
269 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-33.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20.46Jun 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$25.89Jun 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$31.84Jun 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$26.28Jun 9, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$29.66Jun 9, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$25.38Jun 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$33.42Jun 9, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$25.45Jun 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.60Jun 9, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25.65Jun 9, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$25.82Jun 9, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$30.53Jun 9, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$25.33Jun 9, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$29.44Jun 9, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$25.28Jun 9, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.45Jun 9, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$25.80Jun 9, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$32.05Jun 9, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$25.38Jun 9, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$43.82Jun 9, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $25.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.