Excitable-Sweatshirt
0x3ca9fb6b1284671257772bb0913deaf82d4bfc73
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$177.38
Total PnL
$-206.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
211 shares @ 38.2¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.41
$-17.39
- YES
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
239 shares @ 20.9¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$35.82
$-14.18
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.52
$8.52
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 67.9¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.51
$-1.49
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 85.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.67
$0.67
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.51
$0.52
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 85.4¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.27
$-0.73
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 94.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
26 shares @ 23.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.74
$-1.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in June?$1.11Jun 5, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4?$310.11Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen$57.29Jun 4, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen$55.07Jun 4, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4?$300.68Jun 4, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$110.72Jun 4, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$100.49Jun 4, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$3.01Jun 4, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?$266.16Jun 3, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMITF Tsaghkadzor: Nicholas Ionel vs Laurin Aerne$11.46Jun 2, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Kempen/Klepac$5.38Jun 2, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea$1.54Jun 2, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 57°F or below on June 1?$50.05Jun 2, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova$12.50Jun 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?$265.06Jun 2, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels$10.31Jun 2, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi$221.85Jun 2, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi$100.09Jun 2, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi$100.39Jun 2, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi$5.02Jun 2, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $62.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.