0x3cc083e3c188e402e9e2c0d74d9ff4cc20591912
0x3cc083e3c188e402e9e2c0d74d9ff4cc20591912
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$327.91
Total PnL
$2.18
Realised
$-0.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
333 shares @ 45.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.66
$91.67
- KOLKATA KNIGHT RIDERS
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings
157 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$78.47
$7.85
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.38
$-5.63
- YES
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
28 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.41
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?
318 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4?
249 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 4?
185 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.79
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on June 4?
175 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 3?
169 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?
112 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 3?$0.00Jun 4, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 4, 03:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.98Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?$0.46Jun 3, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?$0.46Jun 3, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?$13.06Jun 3, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 3, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 3, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 3?$0.17Jun 3, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 3?$0.70Jun 3, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 3, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 3?$1.80Jun 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 3?$2.50Jun 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 3?$3.00Jun 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 3?$2.42Jun 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?$42.31Jun 3, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?$6.46Jun 3, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 3?$10.00Jun 3, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.