0x3cc083e3c188e402e9e2c0d74d9ff4cc20591912
0x3cc083e3c188e402e9e2c0d74d9ff4cc20591912
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$585.99
Total PnL
$135.77
Realised
$-0.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
333 shares @ 45.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$265.00
$115.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
179 shares @ 42.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$108.03
$33.04
- KOLKATA KNIGHT RIDERS
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings
157 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$78.47
$7.85
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
81 shares @ 61.9¢·now 97.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$78.40
$28.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$30.22
$0.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 10?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$11.50
$1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 10?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.59
$-6.41
- YES
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
28 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.26
$-0.43
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?
207 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.72
$-9.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 10?$1.6715m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 10?$3.3319m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 10?$0.5622m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 10?$4.4425m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?$4.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?$25.363h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 12?$1.595h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?$1.115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?$8.935h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$2.715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.865h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.245h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.055h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$1.635h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.105h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.435h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.435h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.435h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?$0.095h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6h ago
- Last active
- 15m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
