Reckless-Guilty
0x3d04e3eba801ff41335b8e3a59325e6648d5131d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$641.45
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$9.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
428 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$428.00
$0.43
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
251 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$213.35
$10.04
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.07
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
965 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-250.90
- MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
826 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-83.43
- YES
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?
662 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-86.06
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be greater than 2,400,000?
492 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-93.48
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?
482 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-53.02
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
390 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-269.10
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
368 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-301.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRippling IPO before 2027?$604.56Apr 27, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRippling IPO before 2027?$604.56Apr 23, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$594.00Apr 13, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?$1.2KApr 13, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$35.97Apr 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$196.68Apr 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$143.88Apr 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$203.31Apr 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$71.90Apr 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$31.28Apr 9, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$141.22Apr 9, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$103.04Apr 9, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$353.71Apr 7, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$353.97Mar 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$353.97Mar 30, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$515.14Mar 29, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?$831.60Mar 29, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?$65.67Mar 27, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$298.00Mar 27, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)$503.00Mar 27, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $255.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.