Hot-Alfalfa
0x3d05556ee96d6477f8f6c010d08e5cecf4e6a379
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$10.55
Total PnL
$-10.23
Realised
$-0.82
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.98
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on May 17?
145 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.52
$-2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.14
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 16?
86 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.95
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 17?
24 shares @ 8.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.93
$-1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 17?
33 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.71
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.68
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?
7 shares @ 5.8¢·now 7.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.54
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 16?
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.43
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or higher on May 17?
22 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.42
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 17?$0.33May 16, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?$0.51May 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?$0.40May 16, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?$1.70May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?$0.51May 16, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?$0.23May 16, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?$1.00May 16, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 17?$1.86May 16, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 17?$1.41May 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 17?$1.10May 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 17?$2.64May 15, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?$2.50May 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 16?$0.50May 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 17?$14.78May 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?$2.10May 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 17?$0.34May 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?$0.80May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 16?$1.08May 15, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?$1.09May 15, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 16?$1.04May 15, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".