Bustling-Punishment
0x3d0f3997009ecb63996c1f9d527a36a86067ea05
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.37
Total PnL
$-8.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-1.91
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
4 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
3 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$7.14May 23, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.34May 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 7, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$5.03May 5, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$1.01May 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.09May 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$0.67May 5, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.30May 5, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.14May 5, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$2.78May 5, 16:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$1.00Mar 1, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00Mar 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Mar 1, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$2.78Mar 1, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?$0.00Feb 10, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.23Feb 10, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".