SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Probability
37¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$47.79
Liquidity
$2.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5988.6h
- 11:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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