Ultimate-Tomtom
0x3d682d09daf3747055285b0ee1b64bfc018edb93
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$69.69
Total PnL
$-100.87
Realised
$-2.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
31 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$16.59
$1.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?
302 shares @ 6.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.50
$-8.85
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
170 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.44
$-1.22
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
97 shares @ 6.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.29
$-1.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?
406 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$4.67
$-4.83
- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
119 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.48
$-0.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?
80 shares @ 4.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$3.08
$-0.72
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.05
$-0.66
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
12 shares @ 15.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.94
$1.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
132 shares @ 5.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.65
$-5.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.80Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$1.12Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$4.08Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$3.84Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$3.72Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.00Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.20Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.75Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$2.56Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 28?$1.10Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 28?$1.69Jul 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?$0.36Jul 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?$0.97Jul 28, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?$0.08Jul 28, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 28?$0.26Jul 28, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.