Serpentine-Merchant
0x3d70670e169d7630a0a324dc01d030c650a4e9b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$455.82
Total PnL
$-651.91
Realised
$3.20
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
40 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.18
$0.06
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.71
$-0.06
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
25 shares @ 94.6¢·now 93.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.27
$-0.38
- NO
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.87
$-0.01
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.40
$-0.80
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 94.5¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$18.05
$-0.85
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 82.5¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.86
$0.36
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 92.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.57
$-0.99
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
15 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.54
$0.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?$3.38Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$6.03Jun 12, 01:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$5.00Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$4.10Jun 10, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$9.92Jun 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.64Jun 10, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.12Jun 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.89Jun 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$4.96Jun 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.99Jun 10, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?$19.92Jun 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.22Jun 10, 06:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceland win on 2026-06-09?$1.09Jun 9, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.99Jun 9, 17:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $8.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.