Classic-Molar
0x3d8891a8dacc3b38748372fb2a51d92f57ec39d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$117.92
Total PnL
$-194.75
Realised
$12.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
154 shares @ 39.6¢·now 18.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$27.73
$-33.27
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
167 shares @ 24.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$26.69
$-13.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?
20 shares @ 50.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$11.79
$1.79
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
189 shares @ 13.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$-15.25
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
3211 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.03
$-36.97
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
64 shares @ 23.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.99
$-7.01
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
118 shares @ 21.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.64
$-17.36
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1093 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.47
$-10.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.26
$-2.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.00Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$2.00Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$2.00Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?$21.86Jun 13, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?$5.13Jun 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$2.00Jun 13, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?$1.04Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14?$5.20Jun 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?$5.12Jun 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.00Jun 12, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$1.00Jun 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$10.00Jun 12, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12?$5.19Jun 11, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?$10.27Jun 11, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$93.80Jun 11, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0.00Jun 11, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 2?$0.00Jun 11, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.