Weird-Outset
0x3dc68801f11ea09f9556e5b63834a147ca3c3bb9
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.92
Total PnL
$-21.94
Realised
$0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.17
$8.17
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 9?
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$8.40
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?
20 shares @ 48.9¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.98
$-9.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 9?
2 shares @ 7.8¢·now 15.3¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.36
$0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 5?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 6?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 5?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Trump say "White House Doctor" in April?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?$10.262h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 9?$0.383h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?$6.943h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?$10.723h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 9?$10.655h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?$17.985h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 9?$0.416h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?$8.501d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?$6.791d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?$4.801d ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?$4.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?$3.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?$1.862d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?$1.762d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?$7.212d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?$4.432d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 6?$6.522d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?$10.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?$2.903d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
