Arid-Province
0x3de69fd6347a62a618656371e30a17b0c490e560
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
24%
106 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
816 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$814.04
$21.20
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
1018 shares @ 50.4¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$773.77
$260.16
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2883 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$482.93
$17.90
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5561 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$436.54
$-60.99
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
394 shares @ 86.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$390.94
$48.45
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2609 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$275.28
$14.55
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2615 shares @ 11.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$252.33
$-45.70
- NO
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 87.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$218.21
$3.47
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2604 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$217.44
$0.66
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1115 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$178.97
$-1.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$3.64Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$0.22Jun 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$3.44Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.05Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.02Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$3.45Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET$13.67Jun 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.05Jun 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.02Jun 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$1.02Jun 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.37Jun 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.48Jun 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET$1.07Jun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET$0.13Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 106 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.