0x3df1aa1dc579362c75f05fa77417148d5d0e4e50
0x3df1aa1dc579362c75f05fa77417148d5d0e4e50
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$65.51
Total PnL
$3.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.41
$0.38
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$13.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 16?
11 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$11.20
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 16?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$11.03
$2.21
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$10.22
$0.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?
5 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$4.55
$0.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.74Apr 16, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 16?$8.91Apr 16, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 16?$11.00Apr 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$15.03Apr 16, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by January 31?$0.00Apr 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$13.00Apr 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.48Apr 16, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16?$10.11Apr 16, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?$4.01Apr 16, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by January 31?$0.00Apr 16, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Apr 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 17?$7.42Apr 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 17?$8.79Apr 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 17?$9.99Apr 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$19.99Apr 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 17?$7.32Mar 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 17?$8.57Mar 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 17?$9.74Mar 17, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.