Great-Pillbox
0x3e309f52349dbb0f5887e1a060e9dcbb7c42f6e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$39.17
Total PnL
$-459.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$22.73
$17.73
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.08
$7.08
- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$-7.14
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
5353 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-128.19
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
4333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
2522 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
1275 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
1216 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$92.19Jan 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by January 31?$5.00Jan 3, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Jan 3, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$5.00Jan 3, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton charged by January 31?$5.00Jan 3, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any game win 2 awards at the Steam Awards?$5.00Jan 3, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?$5.00Jan 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$13.00Jan 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$36.00Jan 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$15.00Jan 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$39.00Jan 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$33.00Jan 3, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 3, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?$10.00Jan 3, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$10.00Jan 3, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $21.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".