Menacing-Estimate
0x3e54899fdbbf4881d43ec43127c50a940118b2ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-250.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 15?
556 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?
423 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.41 in December?
281 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 13?
277 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
277 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.20 December 29-January 4?
273 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 14?
273 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 8?
270 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
268 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$113.46May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$0.13May 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$111.97May 26, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$134.14May 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$132.66May 18, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 11?$108.39May 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 11?$106.76May 11, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?$49.75Apr 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 27?$1.71Apr 27, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$91.76Apr 19, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$88.82Apr 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?$1.28Apr 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$2.74Apr 12, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30?$83.88Apr 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?$2.44Apr 1, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 31?$1.88Mar 31, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?$0.00Mar 31, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30?$81.36Mar 30, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 17?$0.00Mar 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 29?$2.34Mar 29, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $34.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".