Lone-Opportunist
0x3e6b3736f9f780995c5d3140fc56bba2454dcab7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$10.88
Total PnL
$-56.61
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.83
$-0.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1?
1145 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 2?
1138 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?
1135 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 9-15?
1133 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 22?
1124 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 25?
1122 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 17?
1119 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 26?
1106 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$10.65Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$10.60Jun 9, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$4.61Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$4.60May 26, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 18?$4.61May 18, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 18?$4.60May 18, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$4.62May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$4.60May 12, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 4?$4.61May 4, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 4?$4.60May 3, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.11May 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.10Apr 16, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.03Apr 10, 12:36 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Apr 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 2?$2.25Apr 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 2?$0.03Apr 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 26?$3.32Mar 26, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 25?$3.36Mar 25, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?$2.27Mar 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 22?$2.25Mar 21, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $297.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.