Outgoing-Amazon
0x3e8dd1ccd471191be2f67452e14dec5e80b2110c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$101.96
Total PnL
$-83.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- ALEXIA THAINARA
UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- QUILLAN SALKILLD
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$14.87
$-0.13
- GUILHERME PAT
UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- BILLY QUARANTILLO
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$9.87
$-0.13
- BILLY RAY GOFF
UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$9.60
$-0.40
- RAVENA OLIVEIRA
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$8.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$5.71
$0.71
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?
1183 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.32
$-4.68
- DARREN ELKINS
UFC Fight Night: Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on August 4?$15.38Aug 4, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$10.42Aug 4, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$11.11Aug 4, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4?$31.22Aug 4, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4PM ET$29.38Aug 4, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 4, 4PM ET$30.92Aug 4, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$25.93Aug 4, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$26.14Aug 4, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.18Aug 4, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 4, 4PM ET$5.29Aug 4, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4PM ET$5.29Aug 4, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?$5.33Aug 4, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4?$5.33Aug 4, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.19Aug 4, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.19Aug 4, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.25Aug 4, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.24Aug 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$44.96Aug 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.31Aug 4, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?$10.49Aug 4, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $13.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.