Hateful-Chestnut
0x3e9cb09c257f2f81962164717567f2bd091ab879
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$738.52
Total PnL
$-93.94
Realised
$12.71
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
155 shares @ 85.3¢·now 85.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$132.92
$0.92
- NO
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
136 shares @ 73.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$101.37
$1.37
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
110 shares @ 81.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$98.57
$8.57
- NO
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
107 shares @ 81.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$93.83
$6.70
- NO
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
140 shares @ 71.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$87.50
$-11.90
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$58.46
$1.34
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
177 shares @ 35.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.47
$-5.51
- NO
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$48.30
$-0.30
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.50
$7.50
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$7.00Jun 14, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$30.00Jun 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$67.67Jun 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$49.00Jun 13, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$23.67Jun 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$25.00Jun 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.15Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$62.00Jun 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$63.11Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$83.00Jun 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$60.00Jun 13, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?$142.96Jun 13, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?$110.00Jun 12, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$109.19Jun 12, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$100.00Jun 11, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?$100.40Jun 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.29Jun 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.88Jun 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.56Jun 9, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $60.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.