Quiet-Mutation
0x3ea0cd906b9ecc0dca155a55ec46637d81e6eb13
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$89.07
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$2.5K
Win rate
87%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2024$83.33
$73.33
- YES
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 38.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$5.73
$3.51
- NO
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump lose the New Hampshire Primary?
651 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15?
583 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2022$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20?
545 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2022$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?
502 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-6.97
- YES
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 38.0% or higher on July 21?
470 shares @ 56.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2022$0.00
$-263.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?$30.00Feb 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JUP be above $1.00 one day after airdrop?$30.00Jan 31, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill FTX's deal with BlockFi be announced by July 31?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31?$0.01Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15?$0.01Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill natural gas close above $8 on June 24, 2022?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMSenate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEM2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6?$0.01Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?$0.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $3,250 on April 13th, 2022?$0.13Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?$0.68Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $10 billion a week after its launch?$0.80Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31?$0.99Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?$1.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the floor price of Ryder Ripps BAYC (RR/BAYC) be above 1 ETH on June 30?$1.01Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win Jake Paul vs. Hasim Rahman Jr.?$1.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $114.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".